NCR Covid positivity rises, matches August peak

THE Covid-19 positivity rate in the National Capital Region (NCR) or Metro Manila reached its previous peak in August, OCTA Research reported.

OCTA Research lead researcher Dr Guido David said NCR’s positivity rate had risen to 17.5% as of September 21, from 14.3% the previous week, matching the peak recorded on August 5 last year. .

The highest recorded positivity rate was 50%, recorded during the Omicron wave earlier this year.

In an interview with The Manila Times on Friday, David said he expects the region’s positivity rate to hit 20% in the next few weeks, the equivalent of around 2,000 cases per day.

The reproduction rate also increased slightly, from 1.19 on September 12 to 1.26 on September 19.

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The seven-day case average in Metro Manila rose 28% to 1,128 cases.

Covid cases are also on the rise in neighboring provinces such as Rizal, Bulacan and Cavite.

David, however, considers the rise in the positivity rate to be “not yet of concern” due to vaccination coverage.

“Although people are infected, only a few are hospitalized, and that’s a good thing. We don’t expect any change in the alert level or [our] strategies,” he said.

He added that people were starting to adjust to life with the virus, citing high mobility patterns, especially when face-to-face classes resumed a few weeks ago.

“Mobility, complacency, diminished immunity could be a factor, but again, that’s not something people should be afraid of. We need our economy to function. Given that the mortality has gone down, for most people it’s not a big concern, and we can live our lives,” David said.

The Department of Health (DoH) also attributes the rise in cases to increased mobility and the return to in-person classes.

Health officer in charge Maria Rosario Vergeire said the increased mobility reflects people’s confidence in getting vaccinated against Covid-19.

David said protecting people who are highly vulnerable to the virus such as healthcare workers, the elderly, people with co-morbidities and even the unvaccinated should remain at the top of government even as the country begins to ease restrictions. of Covid.

“We can avoid it by following the protocols… vulnerable people, they can be more careful when they go out and go to gatherings,” David said.

Carol N. Valencia